Whither Iraq? The missing issueis the 800-pound gorilla

The biggest issue facing the nation right now is Iraq, plain and simple. The simmering war continues to cost us lives and money, continues to kill Iraqis and continues to erode our credibility in the Muslim world.

It makes it nearly impossible to deal with Iran or the crisis in Pakistan. And it is bankrupting the budget, making it difficult to meet other priorities.

And yet, the chattering class has consigned Iraq to the second tier — at best.

But, as Tom Hayden points out, “the number of Iraqis in prison doubled in 2007, the number of US air strikes increased seven-fold, and the segregation of Iraqis into sectarian fiefs increased” and the “number of Americans killed last year was nearly 1,000, but that news went largely unreported.”

“Someone needs to restore Iraq to the center of the Democratic debate,” he writes, rather than leaving it up to prowar Republicans to bring it back to the table on their terms.

As I wrote nearly one year ago, the military surge in Iraq would bolster the possibilities of a McCain (and Joe Lieberman) ticket in 2008; and it has. Gen. Petraeus has succeeded in his strategic goal of “setting back the clock” in Washington and buying time for the US occupation to survive the political debates of 2008.

If Obama wants to win, he needs to sharpen his differences with Clinton immediately, going beyond style to substance, especially on Iraq. He needs to point out the differences that everyone in the political and media worlds, and therefore the voters, are missing. Under the five-year Clinton plan, while the good news is that US combat troops would be withdrawn gradually, tens of thousands of “advisers” and counter-terrorism forces would stay in Iraq to fight a counterinsurgency war like Central America in the 1970s. That is a plan to lessen American casualties and wind down the war on television, while still authorizing a nasty low-visibility one. It is impossible to criticize the CIA’s secret torture methods and turn a blind eye to what happens every day in Iraq’s detention centers complete with their US trainers and funding. With the Clinton plan, American advisers and special forces are likely to be filling those detention centers through 2013. As one expert says, “Detain thousands more Iraqis as security threats, and the potential for violence inevitably declines.”

Obama could, if he wished, say that a plan to have Americans fighting in Iraq through the next President’s first term is not a peace plan but a five-year war plan filled with risk for American soldiers. He could make the comparisons to Central America. He could point out the impossibility of funding Iraq, Afghanistan and national health care.

The argument could be a winner, tying together all the issues that Americans have told pollsters they care about while undercutting the foolish arguments being offered by Mitt Romney, John McCain and the rest of the crew.

And, perhaps most importantly, it would keep the pressure on policy makers to actually end the deadly debacle.

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Don’t believe the hype

Am I the only one who thinks this tease from The New York Times Web site is just a bit over the top?

Nevada was vaulted into the position of tie-breaker after the victory of Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton in New Hampshire Tuesday.

The story is a pretty straight summary of the activity in the southwestern state, so I’m not sure what possessed the Times to take a page from the cable networks.

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There’s no crying in politics? Why not?

Hillary Clinton cannot win for losing. It is becoming increasingly clear that the New York senator is being held to a different standard than every other candidate in the race.

Consider yesterday’s mini-firestorm:

Everything is on the table inside Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton’s campaign if she loses the New Hampshire primary on Tuesday, her advisers say — including her style of campaigning, which shifted dramatically on Monday when Mrs. Clinton bared her thoughts about the race’s impact on her personally, and her eyes welled with tears.

“I couldn’t do it if I just didn’t passionately believe it was the right thing to do,” she said here in reply to a question from an undecided voter, a woman roughly Mrs. Clinton’s age.

Her eyes visibly wet, in perhaps the most public display of emotion of her year-old campaign, Mrs. Clinton added: “I have so many opportunities from this country, I just don’t want to see us fall backwards. This is very personal for me — it’s not just political, it’s not just public.”

Mrs. Clinton did not cry, but her quavering voice and the flash of feeling underscored the pressure, fatigue, anger and disappointment that, advisers say, Mrs. Clinton has experienced since her loss on Thursday in the Iowa caucuses and that she continues to shoulder at this most critical moment.

The Times is playing this pretty straight — but that hasn’t stopped those tears from becoming an issue. And that’s the problem. The array of opinions — to get a sense of what everyone is saying, go to the Times’ The Caucus blog — offers a pretty stark reminder of the biases Clinton faces these days. She has been criticized both for being emotional (read this as code for “weak woman”) and for not being sincere in her emotions (which plays into the stereotype of her as cold and calculating — another in a long line of misogynistic stereotypes used to damage strong women) — sort of a “damed if you do, damned if you don’t” critique.

I’m no fan of the New York senator. She is too much of a centrist for my taste and far too much like her husband: a Democratic triangulator.

But the controversy over her tears seems contrived and a distraction.

Of more significance, I think, maybe the responses from her chief Democratic rivals.

From Barack Obama:

As Mr. Obama stopped briefly for a cup of hot tea in New London, N.H., he was asked about the video image of Mrs. Clinton.

“I didn’t see what happened. I don’t know the context of it,” Mr. Obama told reporters. “I know that this process is a grind, so that’s not something I would care to comment on.”

From John Edwards:

John Edwards was asked for his reaction to Mrs. Clinton’s emotional display at a news conference on Monday.

“I don’t really have anything to say about that,” he said, but then continued, “I think what we need in a commander in chief is strength and resolve, and presidential campaigns are tough business, but being president of the United States is also very tough business. And the president of the United States is faced with very, very difficult challenges every single day and difficult judgments every single day. What I know is that I’m prepared for that.”

Edwards comes off looking pretty sexist, as Katha Pollitt points out in her blog at TheNation.com:

Today he deployed against Hillary the oldest, dumbest canard about women: they’re too emotional to hold power.

She adds

Ooh, right,we need a big strong manly finger on that nuclear button! Even if that finger has spent most it its life writing personal injury briefs in North Carolina, which, when you come to think of it, is not an obvious preparation for commander-in-chiefhood.

“When people say they don’t want anyone’s finger on the button who cries, I say I don’t want anyone’s finger there who doesn’t cry,” Pat Schroeder told me when we spoke by phone this afternoon. “Tears show someone is a human being.” Schroeder ought to know. In 1987 she was viciously attacked for shedding a few tears while announcing her withdrawal from the presidential race. “Ronald Reagan used to tear up all the time,” she said. ” when John Sununu left the New Hampshire governorship to run Reagan’s campaign he was crying so hard he couldn’t finish his speech. Bush recently teared up. Dozens of male politicians cry. But when a man cries, he’s applauded for having feelings. when a woman cries, she attacked as being weak.”

Edwards backtracked some this morning, saying he wasn’t criticizing Clinton. I’ll let others judge.

In any case, Edwards did come off better than Rudy Giuliani, who opted to use this silliness to once again remind us that he is running for president of 9/11.

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Presidential press coverage:The unfairness doctrine

Hard not to agree with this from Scott Horton on Harpers.org. Barack Obama has been getting glowing news coverage, as John McCain has been for years — in contrast with not only Hillary Clinton and Mitt Romney, as Horton points out, but John Edwards, as well. McCain finishes fourth in Iowa and gets kudos; Edwards finishes second, spending next to nothing compared with Obama and Clinton, and he was one of the big losers.

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Random thoughts on Iowa

Barack Obama proves he will be a formidable candidate, though it is probably too soon to say — as far too many of the television talking heads did last night — that he is now the favorite to win the White House.

Hillary Clinton, on the other hand, now has a lot to prove. A candidate whose entire campaign had been based on her inevitability just can’t finish third — and a candidate making a direct appeal to women shouldn’t allow her rival to garner more support from women.

Joe Conason, in a fine column, points out the image that summed up for me Clinton’s failure — Madeleine Albright and other members of the Cinton old guard standing behind the candidate, a “listless tableau of the old Clinton administration” that “only heightened the freshness and vitality of Obama’s superb victory speech.”

John Edwards put a lot of effort into Iowa to finish second, but he finished far stronger than expected — a victory of sorts that should mean more cash and a bit of momentum. And — while the pundits won’t necessarily admit it — a receptiveness to his anticorporate message.

And Bill Richardson may have earned himself a chance to be considered as VP.

On the Republican, welcome to anarchy. Mike Huckabee’s victory seems, at least to me, to be evidence of the rent fabric of the GOP coalition. The evangelicals don’t trust Rudy Giuliani, John McCain or Mitt Romney; the business conservatives despise Huckabee; no one seems to like Fred Thompson; and the security faction — well, does it even exist at this point.

I think the headline on this New York Times story — “Race Upended, Candidates Sprint Toward Tuesday Vote” — is pretty accurate.

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