The Huffington Post headline from earlier today pretty much says it all:
Stuck in the Mud
The headline, since replaced, neatly sums up the fate of the American economy as we steam toward the end of 2011 and full-bore into a presidential election year. The numbers back this up. As The Huffington Post reports,
The U.S. economy added 103,000 jobs in September, while the unemployment rate held steady at 9.1 percent, according to new data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The numbers beat economists’ expectations but barely keep pace with population growth, reinforcing the growing fear among many that the labor market recovery is dead in the water.
“We are still making no progress on a recovery that’s going to bring people back to work,” said Harvard economist Lawrence Katz. “What I see is an economy that can’t create enough opportunity to do more than just absorb the new population. Which is not much of a feat.”
A chunk of today’s headline number is attributed to the 45,000 striking Verizon workers who were not counted in last month’s report and are now back to work. The report revised the number of new jobs added in July and August upward, but the average over the last four months was still a paltry 64,000 new positions — well below the 100,000 to 150,000 jobs that economists generally believe are needed to account for population growth and lower than the average of the prior 14 months of job creation.
Meanwhile, the share of the unemployed who have been out of work for six months or longer crept up to 44.6 percent from 42.9 percent, as the number of long-term jobless increased from roughly 6 million to 6.2 million — up from a year ago. More than 2 million of those Americans have been out of a job for more than 99 weeks. Another grim detail: The number of Americans working part-time because they have been unable to find full-time work increased by 444,000 to nearly 9.3 million.
The nicest thing we can say is that the economy is stagnant. There is no growth, nothing that offers any sense of optimism in the economy. That is why the protests on Wall Street are spreading.
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