Up in the air

This thing may never end. Hillary Clinton has been declared the winner in Ohio by MSNBC with Texas too close to call. By any gauge, she would have to be viewed as tonight’s winner.

But is it enough? One of the things that strikes me about this is that it is the kind of night that, had it happened a month ago, would have been used to reinforce Clinton’s inevitability factor, but now is viewed as a last gasp for her campaign.

Listening to Chris Matthews now — gasp — I am struck by his unexpected rationality, tied to a piece that he read by Ronald Brownstein in The National Journal, in noting that the so-called momentum of this race is really nothing more than a quirk of calendar. Matthews point is that Obama, for the most part, has won only those states that he was supposed to, while Clinton has won the states she was supposed to. Had the calendar shaken out differently with the same results in each state, we may have a different definition of momentum.

Brownstein’s analysis is both more expansive and more nuanced, focusing on trends and their impacts on the Democratic coalition. The growing involvement of blacks and younger voters has been of great benefit to Obama and to the party in general, with record turnouts across the country.

The big question is whether the race has split the party, whether two competing coalitions are now in place and whether Obama supporters will stay home should Clinton win the nomination or Clinton supporters — downscale white women and seniors — will migrate to McCain should Obama win.

I still think both Democrats have the advantage as we move forward, especially if the economy continues to be the major issue. And I think that Iraq still looms large.

South Brunswick Post, The Cranbury Press
The Blog of South Brunswick

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Pel-come news?

In a spring season filled with nothing but news of the walking wounded, a story like this is tremendously welcome:

Following up on a strong first start last week against the Tigers, Pelfrey had his sinker working. He scattered just two hits in three scoreless innings of a 3-2 Grapefruit League victory over the Braves.

Mike Pelfrey, the Mets’ first-round pick in 2005, has had some difficult times in a few short stints in the majors the last two seasons but remains the team’s top pitching prospect — one still regarded well enough to keep him from being sent to Minnesota in the Johan Santana trade.

Pelfrey is, in many ways, the future of the organization — provided he lives up to his earlier billing. And if he does, and both John Maine and Oliver Perez continue their improvements, the Mets will go from having a solid rotation with a couple of aging pieces to having a dynamic one that is young and hard-throwing and unlike what we’ve been used to in Queens for a while.

The mix of lefties and righties, complemented by the aging, but savvy Pedro Martinez and whatever Orlando Hernandez can still bring to the table, gives the Mets a deep rotation that could help save the bullpen — a major problem last year. The Mets need the starters to regularly go into the seventh inning to limit the innings of specialists like Pedro Feliciano and to set the rest of the bullpen roles.

Of course, Duaner Sanchez eventually reclaiming the eighth inning will have a huge impact, as will the status of Carlos Delgado, Moises Alou and Carlos Beltran.

But Pelfrey’s work so far is incredibly heartening.

South Brunswick Post, The Cranbury Press
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Pay me now, or pay me later

The thing that has struck me all along about the debate over the governor’s toll hike plan was the inevitability that the state’s needs — its broken infrastructure, shaky finances, etc. — would require some sacrifice on the part of taxpayers. Whether there would be a need to slash government programs, including popular or necessary ones, or raise taxes or other revenue, we were going to pay.

That’s why this announcement today by state Sen. Ray Lesniak should not come as a shock to anyone, though it will.

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The genre lie and the great read

Genre novels are sometimes dismissed by literary folk, called inferior, lesser works designed for a mass audience rather than thoughtful consideration. It’s an elitist concept, of course, but one that has hung around for years and years despite the literary world’s affection for Edgar Allen Poe and the genre experiments of Henry James, William Faulkner and Philip Roth.

Genre, however, is just the exterior formula, a way to frame stories. The police procedural, the British-style mystery/thriller, the detective novel, the ghost story, etc., all use their long-established conventions to move their narratives along, to get the events moving, to create a dynamic that brings together characters, generates conflict and explores the consequences.

Good genre fiction –like that of James Ellroy, Dashiell Hammett, Raymond Chandler or Walter Mosely — structures more complex interactions, experiments with tone, language and place. Like Richard Price:

“I tend to like crime for a backbone,” Mr. Price said recently. “An investigation will take you through a landscape.”

Price’s books are large and powerful explorations of the interaction of people in dying industrial cities in the Northeast, of the racism and class conflicts, of the poses struck and actions taken because few options exist.

“Clockers” is his tour de force — a murder investigation that takes place in the fictional New Jersey city of Dempsey (loosely based on Jersey City), that offers a dead-on take on New Jersey’s law enforcement structure and racial relations. “Freedomland” and “Samaritan” are not quite as strong, but still marvelous reads that delve into the difficult issues of race and class that continue to fragment us as a society.

His touch is cinematic (not a surprise, when you consider that he is an award-winning screenwriter — “Sea of Love,” “Color of Money,” his own novel “Clockers” for Spike Lee), expressively visual.

His new novel, according to The New York Times, follows in this vein.

The landscape in this case — the subject of the book, really — is the Lower East Side, which Mr. Price depicts as a neighborhood of colliding populations: the few remaining Jewish old-timers; the people from the projects; the La Bohèmers, as he calls them, the trust-fund couples with their M.F.A.’s and videocams; the Chinese immigrants, many of them illegal, who sleep, stacked on shelves, in some of the old tenements.

The book’s hero — if you can call him that — is a 35-year-old named Eric Cash, a restaurant manager with a drug conviction who has done a little acting, published a short story in a defunct literary magazine and is now working — or rather, not working — on his screenplay. He’s modeled partly on himself, Mr. Price said. “He’s me if what has been hadn’t been. I’ve always been interested in when the hyphen disappears — you know, actor-waiter, cabdriver-writer — and you have to settle for who you are.” Every now and then you sense that Mr. Price may still feel a little hyphenated himself, with one foot in the old Lower East Side, where he no longer strictly belongs, and one foot in the present, whose permanence he distrusts a little.

The Times interview has me chomping at the bit to read “Lush Life,” though it may have to wait. I almost bought the novel over the weekend, but held off because I’m buried with other books — Rawi Hage’s “DeNiro’s Game,” Don Delillo’s “Falling Man,” Benjamin Cheever’s “Strides: Running through History with an Unlikely Athlete” and David Halberstam’s “The Children” (about the civil rights movement) all sit unfinished on my nightstand. But I’m hoping to get to it by the time I head to the Outerbanks in May for a week’s vacation.

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