There are two narratives in the New Jersey Senate race.
The first is one being told by the national Democratic Party, one in which Democrats attempt to play on the anger and dissatisfaction over the way the Bush administration is handling the war. It is one in which the Democrat, incumbent Robert Menendez, has attempted to turn his opponent, Republican state Sen. Tom Kean Jr., into a surrogate for the president.
To that end, Sen. Menendez has attempted to make this election about several basic issues: The war in Iraq, the security failures of the administration, Social Security and the tax cuts. And while the voters of New Jersey are in tune with his stands on those issues, he is facing a far more difficult fight than he should in what has become one of the bluest states in the nation.
The reason is narrative number two, the one being pushed by Sen. Kean and his fellow Republicans: Corruption. Democrats in the state have earned a deserved reputation as being less than honest — the list, as Tom Moran points out in his Star-Ledger column today, is seemingly endless: Bob Torricelli, John Lynch, James McGreevey, Wayne Bryant, Sharpe James, George Norcross.
Robert Menendez, himself, faces corruption allegations that have the Republicans drooling — the U.S. attorney’s office has apparently subpoenaed records pertaining to an old rental agreement (Menendez, when a member of the House of Representatives, is alleged to have profited from some federal funding he directed to the tenants).
So the question is which narrative will New Jersey residents connect with? History says the Democrats have the upper hand (read David Rebovich on this) and I think, in the end, this blue state is likely to look into the face of continued Republican domination of the federal government and decide to keep Sen. Menendez in office.
I’m hoping that’s the case, anyway.
South Brunswick Post, The Cranbury Press
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