Mourn for the nation

Harper’s offers a comment from Hannah Arendt on its Web site:

And though tyranny, because it needs no consent, may successfully rule over foreign peoples, it can stay in power only if it destroys first of all the national institutions of its own people.

Read the full quote here and mourn for our nation.

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A surge in violence

From Fire Dog Lake:

I thought the “Bush surge” in Iraq was supposed to reduce violence.

I thought so, too. But the violence just seems to continue and, as Fire Dog Lake — and numerous news reports — points out, it is on the rise.

Exactly how long are our nation’s soldiers expected to play this deluded game of whack-a-mole, risking life and limb for George Bush’s ego? Because even allowing for an increase in violence due to the weather heating up and the usual summer uprisings and such, the whole “surge of troops to quell the violence” concept is working bass ackwards.

And it is the troops on the ground, not the strutting folks in Washington, who are paying the ultimate price for this. As well as the Iraqi people, most of whom are trapped in increasingly violent sectarian pockets, or running to other nations as refugees from George Bush’s war. What a mess.

Indeed.

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Speculative values

Interesting bit of speculation on the Blue Jersey site (where I blog occasionally) on the 14th and its potential ramifications down the road:

Baroni is running for State Senator, and though no public polls have been done, he’s the odds-on favorite to win. He’s gaining endorsements from labor unions and other progressive groups and he enjoys solid support from Republicans, who feel he’s the not-so-distant future of the state party.

Before Inverso’s retirement, Baroni was touted as a serious challenger to Lautenberg in 2008. He’s definitely on the short list to run for state office in the next 5 years — likely for Governor or the new Lieutenant Governor’s position (Christie-Baroni ’09?). But to get the extra boost he really needs, Bill Baroni will have to do something extraordinary. Something that will turn heads across the state — not to mention with the big Republican money around the country. What can he do to accomplish that?

Paint the 14th red.

And he could do it. Say Baroni runs a modest campaign this fall: he’ll win by ten points easily. He’s running against a newcomer — Seema Singh — in a “Clean Elections” campaign, where she cannot use a large warchest to saturate the airwaves and bring up her name recognition. It’s going to come down to the streets, where
Baroni is a dynamo — no one’s knocked on more doors than he has.

If Baroni goes all out, pummels Singh in the free media early, pushes his runningmates to knock Greenstein hard, too, and campaigns his heart out — he could very well carry the entire GOP ticket to victory.

I’m not so sure — as my response indicates (the response quoted below has been edited some):

Baroni is likely to win pretty big, taking five of seven towns, including South Brunswick, where he’s well-known and popular. He will lose, however, in Monroe and Plainsboro pretty convincingly, as will his running mates. (Republicans are nearly extinct in those communities.)

The question, ultimately, is how well Linda Greenstein can do in Hamilton and South Brunswick. In the last race, she finished third in Hamilton by a handful of votes and finished second in South Brunswick, beating former SB Police Chief Michael Paquette in the process. She also won West Windsor and Jamesburg outright — taking four of the seven towns in the district.

Her opponents are a Hamilton councilman and a former Jamesburg councilman who has lost his last two or three bids for Jamesburg council. I think this is going to come down to a three-way race to see who serves with Greenstein in the Assembly, with the two Hamilton candidates battling for the spot and Adam Bushman, the former Jamesburg councilman, finishing fourth (I like Adam, by the way — he’s more progressive than many Dems I know on many issues and we have endorsed him several times for Borough Council).

My sense, right now, is that the political make up of the 14th is likely to remain as is, with a Republican state senator (albeit a more progressive one), and a split in the Assembly.

I should point that this is speculation and is not a reflection of how the South Brunswick Post and The Cranbury Press will endorse come November. It’s just an interesting thought experiment.

South Brunswick Post, The Cranbury Press
The Blog of South Brunswick
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