I wish I could disagree with this post from The Opinion Mill, but I can’t. The reality — as witnessed here in New Jersey, a certified blue state, where we may lose a Senate seat we have held since 1982.
The sitting senator, former U.S. Rep. Bob Mendendez has been dogged in recent weeks by the specter of an alleged federal probe — an allegation that the challenger, Tom Kean Jr., son of the popular former governor and a state senator from Westfield, has made the raison d’etre of his campaign. While the alleged probe is probably just a load of hoakam, it has had legs — because of the desultory reputation of Hudson County politicians, because of the incumbent’s low name-recognition and because Sen. Menendez has a reputation for hardball politics.
I’m not saying that he will lose — the Kean camp has run a remarkably inept campaign and the challenger has sullied the reputation he owned (perhaps undeservedly) as a nice guy by crawling into the mud and playing by Rove’s Rules.
My sense is that Sen. Menendez will win, possibly by 6 or 8 percentage points, but I have the same feeling I had when the Mets failed to score after that Endy Chavez catch in game seven of the National League Championship Series — and we all know how that ended.
South Brunswick Post, The Cranbury Press
The Blog of South Brunswick